Election 2012

or Numerology ... you decide

OHIO Presidential Poll
51% Obama
47% Romney
CNN/ORC International
Oct 5-8
722 likely voters
MOE +/- 3%
{c'mon, its CNN, they are so in the liberal's backpockets}

47.8% Obama
47.0% Romney
RealClearPolitics
october 4-8
average of all polls taken
OHIO only
{Obama had a 5 pt lead just one year ago}

Numerology class

impact of presidential candidates on the economy

50% LITTLE IMPACT
47% Big Impact
03% not sure
AP/GIK poll
June 14 - 18
1,007 adults
MOE +/- 4%

Numerology class

Interesting poll numbers
§§§§§§
Republican Nomination PREFERENCE FOR WOMEN
_Feb ___Feb
6-12___13-19
24%____36% Rick Santorum
36%____26% Mitt Romney
Gallop Poll
784 likely voters surveyed
*****
Interesting in that this is even after his comments about birth control ... and everyone thought that would be bad for him
§§§§§§
Michigan GOP Presidential primary
32% Mitt Romney
30% Rick Santorum
Mitchell/Rosetta Stone
20FEB2012
420 likely MI voters/ MOE+/- 4.7%
(wow that's a big MOE for one of these polls)
*****
Michigan GOP presidentail primary
38% Rick Santorum
34% Mitt Romney
Rasmussen Reports Poll
20FEB2012
750 likely MI voters
MOE +/- 4%
§§§§§§

Election 2012: GOP debate SC

Ok - found some interesting graphics on Foxnews ... Wanted to share:
These are how TRITTER fans decided whether the candidates where answering questions during the debate - or whether they were dodging the answers ...

Ron Paul did really well - but then they say his followers are those who don't have real jobs yet and have nothing better to do than sit around plunking on the computers - basically democrats who don't want to alienate mommy &daddy because they hold the purse strings ...
Romney did horrid - he came acrossed as the typical politician ... Only once did he ever show any green of being truthful.

Now as usual, you know this app only throws photos at the bottom of the posts instead of burying them within it ... So I'll just posts the photos with as much info as I can get on the screen for y'all

Numerology class

Some interesting polls in 2011 by Costco:

Should Internet openness be assured by regulation?
39% yes
61% NO

Does Wikileaks serve the best interest of the United States?
45% yes
55% NO

Is offshore oil drilling in the best interest of the United States?
56% YES
44% no

Is College worth it?
66% YES
34% no

Should literary classics be sanitized?
_3% yes
97% NO

Should you seek medical advice online?
87% YES
13% no

Are biofuels actually a good idea?
57% YES
43% no

Should teacher layoffs be based on seniority?
31% yes
69% NO

Ten years after 9/11, is America safer?
26% yes
74% NO

Should paid sick leave be mandatory?
43% yes
57% NO

Should the mortgage interest deduction be phased out?
18% yes
82% NO

Is it OK to thank people by email?
52% YES
48% no
@@@@@
I found of he number surprising and some not - mostly because I would expect Costco members to be more on the conservative side of the line ...

When I think of Costco I think of business owners/managers and preppers - no most aren't crazies, they just think differently then others ... They will leave their children a legacy of food and precious metals.

Things like looking up medical advice online shocked me - after all you don't really know the credentials of the person your getting it from... Just because they have an MD doesn't mean they weren't the last in their class (every class has them too)...

The biofuel question ... I guess I would have thought they would have been more big oil instead of putting their vote behind an industry where we really don't know the effects yet ... I mean we all know they say it's environmentally friendly and it would be cheaper but do we really know this? I mean look at the issues they are finding with the CFL bulbs, it wasn't until after they passed the regulations phasing out the regular incandescent that they found the mercury which makes the CFL work was dangerous to the environment!

Other things like the sanitizing of books or the mortgage interest deduction didn't surprise me at all ... As I would expect that most members would own a home and/or stand by the US Constitution ...

Numerology Class

2012 Presidential Race
possible candidates
43% Cain (R)
41% Obama (D)
1,000 likely voters
Oct 14-15 2011
MOE +/- 3%
Rasmussen Reports

this is really reflecting what the "Tea Party" people, unaffiliated, and disillusioned Dems are thinking.

Now that is just if these two men were running ... and one of these men has joked about putting an electrified fence around the southern border.

rumor has it that the Dems are going to push for a different candidate, forcing Obama into being a one term president.

Numerology class

With the GOP debate tonight they are coming out with some new poll numbers this morning

LA Times (democratic stronghold of the most major kind)

From Drop Box

This may be tough to read ...

60% of those polled ... And it was a small number, only 1500 voters ... Or about 900 voters ... DISAPPROVE of how the President is handling the economy. This is broken into 40% STRONLY disapprove and 20% somewhat disapprove.

That's a pretty large percentage in an area which has always been looked at as a haven for liberals ... The home of Haight-Ashbury ... It is also a place where nearly half the population (47.8% but this does not include those who live there illegally) is Hispanic which is a strong democratic group ... Where 62% of the population is between the ages of 19 - 62 yrs ... Where 15.3% of the population is living beneath the poverty line ... Where approx 20% of the population doesn't have a high school diploma (about 2 million out of 10million) ...

Al those are factors which tend to "feed" the democratic party ... And come on let's face it - they elected Pelosi!

These are the people who are saying that President Obama has dropped e ball or at least taken his eye off of it ... To be clear - the ball is the economy as a whole (as opposed to jobs or stock market as specifics)

Numerology Class

This weeks New Jobless rates are out .... They ain't pretty!
@@@@@@
UP
417,000
NEW Jobless claims
(yes this includes those who went back to work for the 3 or 6 months that it took to requalify)
@@@@@
12,000 higher than hoped for
@@@@@
Above 400,000
154 out of 162 weeks
@@@@@
7.3 million Americans are collecting unemployment now
(the stat is very "American" specific, so I'm thinking there may be non-citizens collecting unemployment as well .... That would interesting to see)
@@@@@
The CBO expects unemployment to stay at over 8% for another 3 years ... Or about midway thru the next term ...
Under-Bush the unemployment rate was around 5%
@@@@@
13.9 million
Unemployed in July 2011
@@@@@
6.2 million
Unemployed for 6 months or more
UP
130%
from Jan 2009
@@@@@
They expect this number to rise considerably if hurricane Irene makes landfall
@@@@@
Labor Department says that the newest rise was because of claims made by striking Verizon workers
@@@@@
Continuing benefits
DOWN 80,000
3.64 million
For week ending aug 13
@@@@@
Economists saying economy stopped in mid-July (no growth/no fall)
{###}{###}{###}{###}{###}
I'm wondering how these new rates/numbers are split across the nation ... I mean is NY and CA skewing these numbers? Does there seem to be one or two particular events that caused it to rise so drastically (as hurricane Katrina did)?

Or is it the horrid economy of CA that seems to be effecting it ... Well ok, not all of CAbut certainly L.A. County which seems to skew the CA numbers - I know they take most of the benefit/entitlement money for the state even though they are one of the lowest earning regions of the state (and not just because so many people are getting federal monies)

The head of the Labor dept. says the worst is still ahead ... So at what point are they going to stop blaming Bush for this? A what point are they going to look at this situation and wonder how anything can get fixed if the president refuses to stay in DC to fix it?

I know that Obama is saying he would like to see some sort of national jobs program ... does this man have any original ideas? I can see this going one of two ways:
1. A CCC or WMP program where the government pays an inordinate number of people to do "make work" ... Hopefully necessary work ... Work that won't give priority to union workers - as so many government jobs do these days.
2. Assigned workers ... Where like the soviet union of old, they will tell people where the jobs are, how many are needed, and where they belong. That lack of freedom of choice,

I can also see a trend where if you are a stay-at-home mom ... A single income family .... You will be SCREWED over when it comes to benefits and old-age ... As the Tea-Party candidates go to the other extreme and pull everything away.

Oops ... I have strayed off point again haven't I?

I think that's the clue to stop now

Numerology class

THIS is why MN has Iowa jokes
§§§§§
2012 GOP nomination Race
21% Mitt Romney
15% Sarah Palin
15% Herman Cain
12% Newt Gingrich
Public Policy Polling
May 27-30, 2011
Partisan Data Polling Firm
481 IA GOP voters
MOE=+/- 4.5%
§§§§§
Ok ... So here is how the voting really turned out:
101.01 Romney
72.15 Palin
72.15 Cain
57.72 Gingrich
----------
303.03 votes

That's leaves the MAJORITY of 177.97 voting for anybody else!

OMGs ... It's high school all-over again!

Oh wait ... Most high school graduating classes are bigger than this sampling!
•••••
here's what else will make this a joke ...

PALIN? Really? The woman can't string three words together without looking like and idiot (Bachmann too, btw)

CAIN? The man has NO political background ... Yes he's a business man ... I don't know when he became CEO of Godfathers Pizza, but I'd love to see a truth/thorough look at their books. I have a feeling that they are part of the problem and not the solution ... They certainly are no where near the size they were in the 80s & 90s .... I'm sorry, I don't see it.

I still have to get up a transcript of the presidential debate, but he doesn't impress me at all. While I think his experience might make him as good congressman or czar - I don't think it makes him a good president.
------
If either of these two come out of IA as a viable candidate ...

It will be the end of the GOP ...

It will be the end of the Republican party

Numerology Class

New numbers to share for this afternoon:
----

In the Context of History,

America's Best Days Are ...

31% In the Future

53% In the Past

16% Not Sure

Rasmussen Reports Poll

1000 likely voters

APR 21-22, 2011

MOE: +/- 3%

#####

Rating Your Personal Finances

(Excellent/Good)

43% September 15, 2008

35% Januarty 20, 2009

30% April 26, 2011

(same poll as above)

#####

Your Home (house)

50% home is worth more than mortgage value

50% buying home best investment for family

19% owners believe value of home will go up over next 12 months

(reported in interview, Scott Rasmussen, "America Live" FNC, 26APR2011)

#####
(btw - in a speech at Ellis Island, President Obama equated the ancestory of African-Americans who were brought over on slave-ships to those of illegals crossing the southern border ... apparently that wasn't recieved too well)

Numerology Class

(and this is the real feature I miss when using the iPad instead of the laptop)
**********
Oil Prices ... well gas prices
$6
The new expected price/gallon
by summer's end
=====
$3.87
Nation Average per Gallon of Gas
3rd year of President Obama's term
---------
$1.83
Nation Average per Gallon of Gas
at end of President Bush's term
(sorry, as much as they might like to, I don't think you can blame him for gas prices 3 yrs later)
-------
Surging Gas Prices
^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Changing Habits?
61% Driving Less
12% Cuts in Expenses
06% Bought Smaller Car
Washington Post/ABC Poll
April 14-17, 2011
1001 adults/MOE +/- 3.5%
%%%%%
Causint Financial Hardship?
71% Yes
29% Not Serious
(same poll as above)
%%%%%
Presidential Approval Ratings
Among Independents
42% Approve
55% Disapprove
(Same poll as above)
%%%%%
Independents would chose
Romney 24pts more than
Obama if they were in the
2012 Presidential Race
%%%%%
Before people start getting on the Middle East too ... lets remember that the majority of the oil used to make gasoline in the US comes from our "friends" up north in Canada ...
those quotes are because, lets face it - they are gouging us too.

Numerology Class

Polls are in!
Now according to the President (during his Bill O'Rielly interview Super Bowl sunday) the "vast majority" of Americans approved of the Health Care Law .... and it is a law now ... well, for now.

He was wrong, of course.
Rasmussen polls show that 58% want the Health Care law appealled, 63% amongst the Independants
Gallop Polls show that 56% of people don't approve of his health care policy, 68% amongst the independants

He also stated that they had 12 judges side with them, and 2 did not ... that's not true either.**see note at end of post**

=====--------=====

Debt & Deficit vs. Approval rating

27% of those polls approved of the Presidents handling of the National Debt

68% disapprove on his job on the Deficit (81% of independents)

APPROVE HOW PRESIDENT OBAMA IS HANDLING THE ECONOMY?

60% Disapprove (68% amongst independants)

37% Approve

Gallop Poll

1,015 adults; Feb 2-5

MOE +/- 4%

=====--------=====

**They had 2 cases make it to trial ... the others were thrown out on technicalities not merits ... this means the judges did NOT feel the law was 'constitutional' it just meant that an 'i' wasn't dotted, a 't' wasn't crossed, or someone didn't mind their 'p's & 'q's.

The real numbers right now are that two judges found that - only part of the law was unconstitutional so most of it could stand ... and two judges found that it was NOT Constitutional and the whole of it needed to be thrown out.

As a matter of fact - the case in FL is perhaps the best known of these cases ... the Apallet (sp?) court judge ruled that the single clause that FORCED people to purchase health insurance was unconstitutional - but because of the way the lawyers for the WH argued it, they said that it was intrical and the law could not stand without the clause - that by removing that single clause made the rest of the law fall apart, that is why he ruled against the whole of the law.

Had the lawyers argued that that single clause could be removed and it would be fine - then the rest of it would have been left alone.

Numerology Class

The American Dream
26% Exists for Everyone
41% Exists for Some
21% Doesn't Exist for Most
09% No Longer Exists

source:The Hill/Penn Schoen Borland (via Fox News)

Oct 12-14; approx 400 voters

MOE +/- 4%

{I've got to say, I think its an awfully big generalization to make for that few of people polled}

=====================

Today:

• 1 in 6: Unemployed or Underemployed
• 4 in 10 Unemployed: out of work for 6 months or more

-----------------------------

House Hold Debt

• 1950: 30% of the Disposable Income
• 1970: 60% of the Disposable Income
• 2010: 125% of the Disposable Income (people spend more than they have)

==========================

Numerology Class

OOOO - I saw these on "Meet The Press" this weekend and had to share ... man, even the usual supporters of the Dem party are turning against him ...

++++++++++++

IF ELECTIONS WERE HELD TODAY

WOULD YOU VOTE FOR

DEMOCRATIC OR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE

IN YOUR CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT?

All___Independents
47%_____47%______Republican Candidate
46%_____40%______Democratic candidate

Washington Post/ABC poll

July 7-11, 2010

(no stats given)

This was supposed to show that the Dems are in trouble from the independents jumping over to the other side ... but I don't know ... independents tend to vote with their pocketbook, by their own experiences, and they swing a LOT until the day of the election

++++++++++++

the representative for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) chimed in with the statistic that during the Bush administration, during the whole 8 years lost 600,000 private sector jobs ... what he didn't say was that (a) the majority of them weren't lost until the last two years and that (b) it has contiued to go up under Obama/Pelosi/Reid

He also said that there has been 'positive job growth' ... uuuhhh - you've just about hit bottom, anything is a positive from here!



And remember too that these are just the last 4 presidents ...

but some other facts to take into consideration ...


During Bush Sr's term the congress was never with him ... they were always held by the Democrats ... Under Clinton, he had 6 years where the congress was with him and the last two were against his policies (look how low unemployment got); under Bush Jr, he had 6 yrs of the House on his side, 2 against him - the senate was 4 for & 4 against ...

Obama (at the time of the stats I found) was one year for his policies, actually now its been two years ...

Sometimes I think people are fooling theirselves if they think the President has that much to do with the economy or unemployment ... it seems more tied to the Congress to me.

Oops - tangent

+++++++++++++++++

PRESIDENT OBAMA
JOB APPROVAL

45% Approve
48% Disapprove

NBC/Walstreet Journal poll
June 17-21, 2010
(no stat on numbers polled or MOE)

interesting that they are using a poll from over a month ago - I'm thinking its worse than this.

+++++++++++++++++++++++

interesting ... "Meet the Press" labelled this show Decision 2010, the Obama Factor and the icon they used to denote it is very simular to that used for the Federation in "Star Trek" .... hmmm ... Star Trek was supposed to be a representation of what Rodenberry thought the most perfect human society would be ... hmmm ... perhaps they are trying to send some subtle support to the Administration after all.
Technically its a star, but the way they have the word "Decision" and the "2010" over the star makes it look like the Star Trek Warp/Light speed sign.

+++++++++++++++++++++++
U.S. Senate
Nevada

44% Harry Reid (D-incumbent)
37% Sharron Angle (R)
10% Undecided
_5% none of these candidates

Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon
July 12-14
(no stats of how many polled or MOE)

++++++++++++

Numerology Class

New Home Sales = UP 27% in March (WOW!!)
kick started by the tax credit for home buyers -- so expect a big jump in foreclosures as well in a few months as people begin to realize that they bit off more than they could chew!

%%%%%%%%%%%%

56 Dead
130 injured
Bagdad, Iraq
series of attacks on Day of Prayer there
nice to see the government over there has everything under control

$$$$$$$$$$$$

Hey Lots of polls to put up today -- big poll day on the News.

National Sales Tax on Top of Income Tax To Help Reduce Federal Deficit
17% Favor
77% Opposed

april 20-21 2010; opinion dynamics/fox poll; reg. voters; MOE +/-3%

Well of course not -- who wants to pay MORE tax? I think if it were an 'instead of' question they probably would have seen it swing the other way in this poll.

President Obama's Promise To Not Increase Taxes On Families Making Under $250,000
57% Will Break Promise
34% Will Keep Promise

April 20-21 2010; registerd voters; moe +/-3%; opinion dynamics/foxnews

if he signs the bill putting in the VAT then he will have failed in keeping his promise. But remember the President doesn't spend money or raise taxes - the Congress does that ... he just signs & supports bills.

Greater Potential Threat To Country's Future
57% Big Government
26% Big Business
13% Both

April 20-21 2010; registerd voters; moe +/-3%; opinion dynamics/foxnews

This makes sense to me -- its because people don't trust the politicians ... time and time again we learn how they are using our money to benefit themselves - or use the taxpayers 'contributions' to party hardy and fly all over the place while preaching enviromental crap.

Is the DNC in Trouble?

Congressional Job Performance
Now__Jan
22%__27% Approve
69%__63% Disapprove

Fox News poll; Feb 2-3 2010; 900 registered voters; MOE +/- 3%

New predictions .... from U of VA (Prof. Larry Sabato) .... of how the Dems will do during the midterm elections ....

• Dems lose 7 seats in Senate
• Dems lose 27 seats in House
• Dems lose 6 governorships

Fox kept saying GOP picked them up .... but I really think we will see more Independant candidates being sick of both main parties -- this is how we got Jesse Ventura for governor.

No one thought he would win - himself least of all - yet come night of the election he was voted in ... people tried to 'throw away' their vote or figured that they had the election wrapped up so they did go to the polls, and found that there were enough people ticked off at "business as usual" that we got him.

Now don't get me wrong -- Jesse started out ok ... he got in on a single platform - give me back my money - and he did that. But then - he didn't have a real plan for the rest of his time ... he had some good ideas - making NW pay back their loan to the state or build the Duluth hub they promised (jobs) ... forcing the State legislature to balance the budget before they went home .... removing the norm of officials to vote in & give themselves raises .... etc. But he had no plan as to how to bring these ideas about.

He did bring in and get signed the limited entitlements bill -- that which limited the amount of time that a person could stay on welfare in the state (there was no limit before, now it is 5 yrs in a lifetime) .... but that is about it really that I can recall off hand.

After that - he turned Democrat and got surly, some of it you couldn't blame him over, but other stuff he would fly off the handle without warning.

oops slipping away again. Focus -- Dems losing seats ...

Now their party is not being helped with yesterday's announcement that Sen. Bayh wasn't going to run again - it didn't sound like he was quitting out-right but he won't be coming back .... he is from a state that is a strong GOP state, so the chances of there being another Dem to take his place is pretty slim.

But he had some pretty harsh words which simply came out to say "look despite what you hear, BOTH parties are playing politics and NEITHER is really interested in bipartisanship" .... that the government is set up not to carry out the needs of the people but it is government for the sake of those in government - it is self-serving.

um .... DUH!!!

Numerology Class

New poll numbers this morning:

President obama Losing Favor with Independents
29% Approve of job performance
39% have favorable view of President (how much they like the President)
45% say changing country for worse

Marist College; Feb 1-3; 910 reg. voters; MOE +/- 3.2%

first - I have to say that that still leaves 68% who have a favorable or better opinion of the President (they may be bright enough to realize that a lot of what is going on with the stand stills in DC have more to do with Congress than the President -- poll doesn't say) but I guess the point was that he used to have a 49% approval rating among Indepentants, and 'favorablilty' was 59% at one point. Um, that would mean they are combining polls here ... and then there wouldn't be a MOE -- well that doesn't make sense at all.

Rasmussen poll says 78% of "unaffiliated people" (since the term Independent was stolen) are angry at government policies. no actual number given and no MOE ... so take it with a grain of salt. Polls numbers available now ....

How Angry Are You At The Current Policies of the Federal Government?
75% angry
19% not angry

Rasmussen Reports; 1000 likely voters; Feb 5-6; MOE +/- 3%

=====================

LOL - Federal Agency for Global Warming is going to be created by the Obama Administration ... they are trying to say that the World Record cold that we have going on ... well ok unusual weather that the world is experiencing now ... is just a hiccup before global warming kicks in full force. OR they could just admit that it is actually a result of the sun's influence on the Earth and that there isn't really anything we can do about the climate and just let people live -- the Earth will correct itself.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Mothers over age of 40 are 77% more likely to give birth to child with Autism (than women under age 25) ... the same study found that a father's age also plays a role - very significant as this used to be thought of as a non-factor.

%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%

Toyota recalling 400,000 Hybrid cars ... including the top-notch, high end, Lexus model ... and there are a bunch more recalls going on in other companies that were being kept on the hush-hush to keep their stock up.

Numerology Class

Daily Presidential Approval Rating
47% Approve
52% Disapprove
1500 voters polled
18January 2010

Reasons the experts think he is having issues?
Economy: D+
No growth in next several months, in fact they expect it to get worse again
Foriegn Policy: C
World is more dangerous than it was before the election
Iran more poised to have Nuke, and there is no policy for Iran
Put more troops in Afghanistan
more assertive with Yemen to get after Al-queda
Domestic Policy: D-
Health Care Reform, (a) deadlines being pushed back
Jobs, non-existing after a year in office
Taxes, people are seeing less money in their pockets and more taxes looming
Housing, people are still seeing a loss in equity & those that want a house is finding it hard to buy a house for a reasonable rate

Numerology Class

New Rasussen poll from this morning:

"Will Quality of Health Care Get Better, Get Worse, or Stay The Same Under the Reform Plan?"

17% Better
52% Worse
23% Stay the Same
january 8-9; 1,000 Likely VotersMOE +/- 3%

Oh that's not good ... add it together and that would mean that 75% of the population thinks that things will see no difference as it is now, or it will actually get worse ....

now remember -- people voted this Congress in because they didn't like the way the Health Care system was going ...

Numerology 101

New poll numbers on the public's opinion of "Climate Change" … interesting poll – I took this poll, or a very similar one … it was dubbed as a quiz to begin with but it ended up as a poll, and was not scientific – at least not the one I took … nor did it ask what my political affiliation was or who I voted for in the last Presidential election.

Here is the basic poll numbers (there were more but being I only had a couple of hours sleep and just got done shoveling out a country driveway – in my exhaustion I accidentally changed channels … should have hit the 'record' button for it)